Not to spoil the surprise, we already know which vehicle will end up as Canada’s bestseller in 2022. In fact, Canada’s No. 1 vehicle has already sold more units in the first nine months of 2022 than the No. 2 vehicle by the end of the year. It is over. Pencils down. Submit your scorecard. A 33 percent spread worth 27,504 sales is not an insurmountable lead.
Or is it? 2022 was nothing but unpredictable, with significant year-over-year sales increases accompanied by catastrophic quarterly declines in much of Canada’s auto industry. Just look at the third quarter for evidence: traditional Detroit brands saw sales increase of 18 percent compared to the same period in 2021, while Asian and European brands combined plunged 28 percent.
Who knows what the fourth quarter will bring?
We do know that sales results in 2022 are not linked to demand, at least not in the traditional sense. Sales results – the delivery of a vehicle to a customer in the real world – is determined by the ability to produce a vehicle. Or the lack thereof. And while the historic norm revolved around an auto industry building as many vehicles as possible and incentivized to cope with any surplus, the 2022 auto industry is largely unable to build enough vehicles to keep stock at dealerships. to recover.
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The final list of Canada’s 10 best-selling vehicles during the first three quarters of 2022 is therefore a very good list showing which automakers are best equipped to overcome a supply chain crisis. That doesn’t make it any less interesting than any other year, especially considering the amount of movement there’s been in much of the top 10.
10. Ford Escape: 19,800, down 5 percent
The Ford Escape, which marginally outperforms the Jeep Wrangler for last place in the top 10, is three places ahead of its place a year ago. Don’t thank Q3. While the Ford brand had an excellent summer (12 percent up in a market that fell 12 percent), the Escape’s 25 percent drop in the third quarter was an outlier.
9. Hyundai Elantra: 19,985, down 1 percent
The overall downturn in the auto industry, equivalent to 150,000 lost sales over the course of nine months, is nothing compared to the relatively small loss of nearly 60,000 units in the passenger car market. Cars account for only 18 percent of the market, but they account for 39 percent of lost sales. Yet the Hyundai Elantra has essentially no role in this. The Elantra volume is stable at just over 2,200 units per month, on average almost equal to the 2021 level. The Elantra was in 14th place overall at this stage of 2021.
8. Honda CR-V: 23,460, down 45 percent
The Honda CR-V, bearing the brunt of not only an industry-wide parts shortage, but also the production complications of a generational shift, is losing volume at an almost unbelievable rate. In the first nine months of 2021, Honda Canada had already reported 42,944 sales. Honda is currently transitioning from the fifth to sixth-generation CR-V, tracking the CR-V sales year with the lowest volume since 2011.
7. Honda Civic: 23,909, down 27 percent
The Honda Civic has been Canada’s best-selling car for the past 24 years, but its 2022 outcome looks highly questionable. The Civic follows its traditional second fiddle with 2,621 units. The Civic also lagged behind at this stage of 2021, but not as significantly. The Civic is down 27 percent this year and is symbolic of Honda’s overall predicament: Brand-wide volume is down 32 percent this year.
6. Toyota Corolla: 26,530, down 21 percent
The Toyota Corolla is on track to finish 2022 as Canada’s best-selling passenger car for the first time ever, but is still on track to slow down at the same steep pace as the car market in general. Less than one in five new vehicles sold in Canada are cars. Admittedly, the Corolla and Honda Civic account for one in four passenger cars sold this year.
5. GMC Sierra: 38,923, down 9 percent
Don’t let rising fuel prices get in the way – pickup trucks are in control in Canada. Even the GMC Sierra, which is down 9 percent in the first nine months of 2022, isn’t losing sales as quickly as the industry in general. Indeed, Sierra volume in the third quarter was up 20 percent, part of GM’s overall 28 percent increase.
4. Chevrolet Silverado: 41,926, up 1 percent
Adding up Chevrolet’s total Silverado volume doesn’t exactly reflect GM’s overall impact on the Canadian full-size pickup truck market. Combined, the Silverado and its GMC Sierra twins produced 80,849 sales during the first three quarters of 2022, nearly enough to make it to Canada’s No. 1 vehicle. But not completely.
3. Toyota RAV4: 42,489, down 20 percent
The Toyota RAV4, which narrowly managed to maintain a podium finish after a third quarter in which sales fell just 7 percent, is a good bet to finish 2022 as Canada’s best-selling SUV for the seventh straight year. The RAV4 has sold its closest direct rival, the Honda CR-V, by more than two-to-one over the summer.
2. Aries P/U: 56,799, up 4 percent
With 25 percent of all complete pickup truck sales in Canada, Ram’s truck line’s market share has grown by nearly two points compared to the first nine months of 2021. To be fair, Ram has no hope of making it to the top truck. fact that GM’s truck twins easily outshine the Ram as well. But in a market that has seen massive declines in 2022, Ram’s Stellantis’ parent company won’t be disappointed with a 4 percent year-over-year volume increase.
1. Ford F Series: 84,303, down 5 percent
After a third quarter in which Ford increased F-series sales by 16 percent compared to 2021, this lead has been maintained. It would take a minor miracle for Ford’s rivals to sell 84,000 trucks by 2022, let alone enough vehicles to pass Ford’s year-end that will surely exceed 100,000 units for the 11th straight year. No other vehicle line in Canadian history has ever reached six figures.